Hollow Demographics

The Economist Magazine ran an article on the hollowing out of the USA job force. They indicated that the new jobs becoming available are at the top end or the bottom end of the pay scale. People at the upper end will save their money and invest it. It is possible that their investments will be made abroad. People at the lower end have to constantly trim their budgets and decrease their style of living.

This will cause regular drops in consumer spending. More and more people will join the underground economy to stay afloat. This will impair the government’s ability to provide basic services. Cuts in education are exacerbating the situation. Military spending puts some money into the economy, but it does not improve infrastructure or educational levels. In many cases the spending is for weapons systems that will never be used. In other instances the materials just get blown up.

A serious investment in education and infrastructure could be made with the money that is currently going for defense. This is not a new idea. The interstate highway system was build as the Nation Defense Transportation system. More spending on education would reduce the spending on prisons. The Republicans do not want an educated population, because they would not be quite as susceptible to Fox news and Rush Limbaugh.

David Segrest, CCIM, CIPS, CEA, TRC, is a REALTOR in Charlotte NC. His web page is http://www.segrestrealty.com. His email address is david@segrestrealty.com.

Jobs and Prosperity

It seems to be agreed that the economy will not truly heal until the jobs come back. Will this solve long-term problems? That depends on what kind of jobs come back. Building new weapons systems keeps people busy and gives them money to consume imported goods and local services. Does it really help things in the long run? It uses vast amounts of energy and natural resources and causes unbelievable pollution. What could be accomplished investing the same amount of money in infrastructure and education?

For one thing, the only way we can lower our Gini coefficient is to improve our educational system. There are plenty of people who are well qualified to get a “good job in a cotton mill”. The problem is there are no cotton mills. My dad’s first question when he was examining a new business opportunity was. “How will this make people’s lives better?” He knew that a business model based on providing benefits was saleable. What are the problems our world and our country are facing in the near and distant future? What are the skills and technologies needed to deal with these issues?

Directing our money and our energy into solving these problems will provide jobs and get the economy moving in a sustainable direction. New weapons systems will not.

David Segrest, CCIM, CIPS, CEA, TRC, is a REALTOR in Charlotte NC. His web page is http://www.segrestrealty.com. His email address is david@segrestrealty.com.

The Gini Coefficient and Income Disparity

The Gini coefficient measures the gap between the rich and the poor. The higher the number the greater the difference. The coefficient varies between 0 and 1, but is usually multiplied by 100. Canada and most of the western European countries have a ratio in the mid twenties. The USA was under 40 through the mid 1980’s at which time it began to rise. Now it is well over 40 and the USA has a similar position to many of the banana republics.

Anyone who has spent much time in Latin America knows that in this type of system, the poor people live in hell and the rich people live in jail. The middle class is almost non-existent. This has changed over the last several years. Latin America’s coefficients have been going steadily down, while the USA has gone steadily up.

Part of this can be explained by the erosion of our industrial base. Most of the problem comes from the governments theories of “trickle down” economics. The idea being that if the rich people get more money, the benefits will “trickle down”. Unfortunately the rich people use the money to invest abroad or by imported good. All the poor people get is a warm damp feeling on the back of their neck.

David Segrest, CCIM, CIPS, CEA, TRC, is a REALTOR in Charlotte NC. His web page is http://www.segrestrealty.com. His email address is david@segrestrealty.com.